Mystery of Q Star – The AI which threaten Humanity

Hello, friends!

Chat GPTs intro

ChatGPT was launched to the public, and since then, it has created a profound impact on the world. “ChatGPT!” People found it difficult to believe that an Artificial Intelligence software could be this powerful.

The company that developed it, OpenAI, and its CEO Sam Altman, have become symbols of the ongoing AI revolution. However, for the last few days, strange events took place in the company.

All of a sudden, the Board of Directors of the company Sam Altman was fired!

When the other employees found out about this, they caused an uproar. Many people threatened to resign. Over the next four days, the CEO changed at OpenAI thrice. But the most shocking thing was that the root cause of this turmoil is said to have been a mysterious AI named Q-Star.

What is Q*?

It is Artificial Intelligent not only excelled in solving complex mathematical and scientific problems but also has the capability to predict future events to some extent. This AI is internally referred to as Q-Star.

Just like Movie (Reference0

Artificial Intelligence.” “Sam Altman, the co-founder of OpenAI being forced out by the Board.” “Altman once chose Microsoft.” And he chose Microsoft again.” “Yet another twist in the Sam Altman saga at OpenAI.” This year, Tom Cruise’s latest Mission Impossible film was released,

“Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One“

friends, if you remember, the main antagonist in this film was not a human but an Artificial Intelligence software. In this film, this AI software was named Entity. Entity was so powerful that it was omnipresent. It could manipulate humans however it wanted, and mathematically, it could predict the future through the mass surveillance. Predicting the future didn’t mean that it could provide a 10-year or 15-year outlook, instead, in any particular situation,

it could predict the future outcome for the next day or the next week. This AI excelled not just in 2-3 specific tasks; it outperformed humans in nearly all tasks it undertook.

Intro AGI

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), a computer system that can do any job or any task that a human does but only better.”

The famous AI software present today like the Language Learning Models like ChatGPT, or generative AI tools like Mid Journey, are classified into the category of Weak AI. Because these software’s are considered to be weak. They excel in specific tasks, they execute the tasks for which they were trained better than humans, but they specialize in only those tasks. If a robust AI like AGI exists it would be able to perform various tasks better than humans. But at this point in time, Strong AIs do not exist.

OpenAI was established as a non-profit in 2015. It had a singular mission: to develop an Artificial General Intelligence or AGI, for the benefit of humanity.

The company’s website clearly outlines its mission. “To ensure that Artificial General Intelligence benefits all of humanity.” Prominent tech entrepreneurs came together to create this company, including Sam Altman and Elon Musk. There were 10 co-founding members of OpenAI in total. The current chief scientist, Ilya Sutskever, and the President of OpenAI, Greg Brockman were also included.

All co-founders collectively pledged $1 billion to OpenAI. In 2019, four years after its incorporation, Sam Altman assumed the role of CEO. Four years after that, on November 17, 2023, the board of directors unexpectedly fired Sam.

main 3 executives:

1. Adam, the CEO of Q*,

2. Tasha McCauley, a Tech Entrepreneur, and

3. Helen Toner.

Decisions are typically made through majority voting, and in this scenario, Sam wouldn’t fire himself obviously. but other directors made decision, sam and greg fired

After their termination, neither Sam nor Greg issued any statements explaining the circumstances. Sam expressed his disappointment on Twitter. This was a shocking decision in the tech world. The abrupt firing of such a powerful and influential CEO by four members of the Board.

What was the undisclosed reasons behind this? As mentioned earlier, till here no one knows.

before that need to understand organization profit & non-profit

Profit & non-profit

OpenAI was initially established as a non-profit, something that is very unique and important. Because the other popular companies in Silicon Valley are all for-profit. Facebook, Meta, Google, Microsoft, and Apple, develops products and sells their services to earn money. They operate to make profits. But OpenAI’s primary objective was to develop an AGI for the benefit of humanity, this was more of a research facility.

It was outlined in its charter that the company’s duty is towards humanity. Neither towards the investors, nor towards its employees.

However, this non-profit model was short-lived. In 2019, the year Sam Altman assumed the role of CEO, OpenAI introduced a for-profit subsidiary company named OpenAI Global LLC.

This subsidiary operates on a capped profits model, The profit earning would be capped with a limit. They limited returns to 100 times the initial investment.

Any investors investing in this for-profit company would get 100 times the return on their investment at most. Any excess profits earned by this company would be directed back to the non-profit parent company. In 2019, OpenAI’s for-profit subsidiary secured its first funding from Microsoft. A monumental $1 billion investment from Microsoft. Over the following four years, as the subsidiary gained widespread recognition, it successfully attracted a total of $13 billion in investments.

Presently, Microsoft is reported to hold a 49% stake in OpenAI’s for-profit arm.

The primary control of this subsidiary would remain with the non-profit main company, OpenAI. However, these conflicting arguments raise a major question: how should the balance between for-profit and non-profit activities be struck? Furthermore, once AGI is developed, how much of it should be commercialized and how much should be designated as non-profit?

If profit is prioritized in all aspects it would have an adverse effect on the world. As exemplified by Facebook, whose algorithms prioritized profit over users’ well-being, whether it involves mental health issues, addiction among users, spreading hate speech on the platform, whether it causes riots in the world. “Facebook, in India, has been selective in curbing hate speech, misinformation and inflammatory posts, this is according to leaked documents obtained by the Associated Press.” Two years ago, there was an expose named the Facebook Papers.

Some people are worried that AI would do the same. Before Sam was fired, some insiders revealed that researchers working at OpenAI wrote a letter to the Board of OpenAI. This letter expressed concerns about Q*, the AI they are developing, that could be a significant step toward achieving AGI. But they were concerned about the potential of Q-Star.

The exact capabilities of Q-Star are known only to those researchers and employees within the company, but conceptually, Q-Learnig is an AI concept that falls within the realm of reinforcement learning. Reinforcement learning is an AI training approach. This technique involves AI learning through human feedback, continually improving its understanding of the environment and decision-making.

Q* name

it is named after a Q-value function, This function is denoted as this [Q(S,A)] where S represents the state and A signifies the action.

Q* is a function that encapsulates the most optimal point.

To illustrate, consider a game of chess. Imagine your chess piece occupying a specific square on the board its position would be termed state S. The subsequent move you intend to make in chess would be referred to as action A. Its Q-value function would predict all possible scenarios. All the potential outcomes for every possible move you could make. Following a thorough analysis, the function identifies the best possible move based on your current position. This best and most optimal move derived by the Q-value function, is termed Q-star in mathematical language.

This would be the best move for you to play in any given situation in this game of chess. I used the chess board as an example. But the same can be done with anything in the world. Picture driving on a highway where AI can predict the speeds and driving styles of surrounding cars. By analyzing these factors,

it can forecast how these cars might move in the next few seconds based on which it can provide you with the most effective driving instruction. Similarly, envision Q* AI analyzing every possible scenario before an election, predicting potential outcomes of the election.

If OpenAI’s mysterious Q* possesses such capabilities, it has the potential to make significant predictions about the future. the things in the Mission Impossible film, might just be possible.

Predicting human thought patterns.

Analyzing all possible decisions in any given moment, accurately predicting how a certain person might make decisions in specific situations.

From business dealings to political moves, this Q* AI has the potential to influence everything. While humans can do this to some extent, however, AGI can surpass human capabilities since humans have their biases and are emotional.

We make decisions based on our emotions. But the AI would make its predictions solely based on mathematics. In a chess game, for instance, after evaluating all possible moves, this AI can provide the most optimal move.

This AI would be able to give you the most accurate predictions. For now, ChatGPT excels at writing and language translation by predicting the next word. However, integrating Q-value learning into this AI would elevate its capabilities to provide optimal answers to any and all questions. These are some speculations about the mysterious Q* AI. Only the people working in OpenAI know how well it is progressing. And how close it is to becoming and AGI.

The direction OpenAI was heading. Their fear stemmed from the potential imbalance between the benefits and harms to humanity. Non -profit organization feels that profit organization will make it harmful to world.

Microsoft found itself in a delicate situation, holding a 49% stake in the for-profit subsidiary, so they didn’t want the disintegration of the company. Microsoft started pressuring the Board to reinstate Sam as the CEO.

OpenAI announced that ex-CEO of Twitch, Emmett Shear, was the new CEO of OpenAI.

On the same day, Microsoft’s CEO, Satya Nadella announced the creation of a new advanced AI research team at Microsoft, led by Sam and Greg. Satya Nadella’s move catapults Microsoft’s stock price to a record high. And people started wondering: how would OpenAI’s new CEO Emmett Shear react?

news breaks that 743 out of the company’s 770 employees wrote a letter threatening resignation if Sam and Greg weren’t reinstated. Over 90% of the workforce threatened to resign.

Mira Murati, the interim CEO, was the first to sign the letter, this was followed by a wave of tweets from employees emphasizes that “OpenAI is nothing without its people.” That’s true. if the CEO of the company is fired and 90% of the employees leave, the company becomes worthless.

Then came the biggest twist in this story. Ilya signed the letter and posted this tweet. Ilya realized that the company’s survival is crucial for implementing safety precautions. As a result, three co-founders, Sam, Ilya, and Greg, unite. However, the three independent board members remain steadfast.

Adding to the complexity, the new CEO, Emmett, also threatens to resign, demanding clarity on the reasons behind Sam’s termination. In the aftermath of these events, it became evident that there was no alternative. Consequently, Sam was reinstated as the CEO of OpenAI. At the end, the three independent directors were powerless against the CEO, co-founders, and employees of the company. After Sam was reinstated,

The new board’s initial task is to appoint a larger board with nine members. Sam posted a tweet, stating,

“I love OpenAI, and everything I’ve done in the past few days has been in service of keeping this team and its mission together. When I decided to join Microsoft…, it was clear that was the best path for me… (but) I’m looking forward to returning to OpenAI with the new Board and with Satya’s support…”

From Satya Nadella’s perspective, in this situation, regardless of the outcome, Microsoft stood to benefit. even if OpenAI couldn’t survive as a company, a new department created in Microsoft would have absorbed almost all the employees, CEO, and co-founders of OpenAI. They could’ve continued with their projects without issues. But now that OpenAI has survived this turmoil, they have an established partnership with Microsoft, and Microsoft would continue benefitting. Satya Nadella tweeted: “We are encouraged by the changes to the OpenAI board.

We believe this is a first essential step on a path to more stable, well-informed, and effective governance. It is expected that Satya Nadella might join OpenAI’s board. While the company is currently secure, the question remains:

will OpenAI lean more towards a for-profit approach or maintain its non-profit values?

And how would it impact the AGI development? Only time can provide the answers.

One certainty is that AI isn’t going anywhere. Artificial Intelligence has become an integral part of our world, and the sooner you adapt to using it, the easier it would be for you to stay ahead in this rapidly changing world.

Thank you very much.